Szkoła Kursów

Matteo Arnaldi v Jaume Munar

Początek: 2026-05-06 13:40 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.95%1.76kurs godziwy
EV -1.48%
Przewaga -0.857%
Kelly -2.03%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.83%56.87%56.92%58.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.92%59.88%57.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jaume Munar (Goście)

Prognoza 43.05%2.32kurs godziwy
EV +1.18%
Przewaga +0.500%
Kelly +0.870%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.25%43.13%43.08%45.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.192.202.3547.62%45.69%45.45%42.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.18%E +0.500%K +0.870%G +0.010%3.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -2.27%E -1.000%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.70%E -1.19%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 13:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 13:15
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 13:15
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:14
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.85%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 13:20
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:09
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 13:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:15
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:27
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 13:15
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 13:15
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:15
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:15
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 13:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:15
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 13:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 13:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 13:30
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-06 13:30
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-05-06 13:20
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.3%2026-05-06 13:15