La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Arnaldi v Jaume Munar
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Arnaldi (Casa)
Previsione 56.95%1.76quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.857%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%56.87%56.92%58.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.92%59.88%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jaume Munar (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.05%2.32quota equa
EV +1.18%
Vantaggio +0.500%
Kelly +0.870%
Crescita +0.010%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.25%43.13%43.08%45.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.202.3547.62%45.69%45.45%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.18%E +0.500%K +0.870%G +0.010% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -2.27%E -1.000%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.70%E -1.19%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 13:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| ReBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.85%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:09 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:14 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 13:27 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:14 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 13:24 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |