语言:简体中文
Marco Trungelliti v Zachary Svajda
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marco Trungelliti (主队)
预测 69.57%1.44公平赔率
EV -1.21%
优势 -0.849%
Kelly -2.87%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
65.95%69.41%69.51%71.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.361.361.4275.76%73.40%73.53%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
Zachary Svajda (客队)
预测 30.43%3.29公平赔率
EV +1.62%
优势 +0.486%
Kelly +0.694%
增长率 +0.011%
假设最高赔率为 3.34
博彩公司预测分布
28.48%30.59%30.49%34.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.113.113.3436.36%32.18%32.15%29.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marco Trungelliti (主队)：69.57%；Zachary Svajda (客队)：30.43%。 对于“Zachary Svajda (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.29。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.34，对应+1.62%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +1.62%E +0.486%K +0.694%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 09:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.11%E -0.343%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -1.42%E -0.438%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 09:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.64%E -0.824%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 05:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.07%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 07:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.16%E -6.18%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 09:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -9.33%E -3.13%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 06:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.76%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 07:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.21%E -0.849%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.33%E -5.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 23:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |