Die Wettquotenschule

Marco Trungelliti v Zachary Svajda

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-06 10:20 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Marco Trungelliti (Heim)

Prognose 69.57%1.44faire Quote
EV -1.21%
Vorteil -0.849%
Kelly -2.87%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.95%69.41%69.51%71.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.361.361.4275.76%73.40%73.53%70.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Zachary Svajda (Auswärts)

Prognose 30.43%3.29faire Quote
EV +1.62%
Vorteil +0.486%
Kelly +0.694%
Wachstum +0.011%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.48%30.59%30.49%34.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.753.113.113.3436.36%32.18%32.15%29.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +1.62%E +0.486%K +0.694%G +0.011%5.1%2026-05-06 09:40
FanDuel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-06 09:49
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001%5.5%2026-05-06 09:40
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.11%E -0.343%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 09:20
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -1.42%E -0.438%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 09:50
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.64%E -0.824%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 07:09
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 05:24
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 09:25
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:19
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:20
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:19
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:19
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 09:19
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 10:10
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 09:19
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 09:19
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.07%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 08:30
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 07:25
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 09:05
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:19
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:20
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:18
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:19
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 05:29
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:05
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:04
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:05
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:05
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.16%E -6.18%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 06:55
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 10:10
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 06:45
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 06:45
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 10:14
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 06:45
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 07:40
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 07:34
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 09:19
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 05:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 05:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 05:29
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:38
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -9.33%E -3.13%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 06:39
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.76%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 07:39
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.21%E -0.849%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.33%E -5.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 23:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-06 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-06 10:10
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-05-06 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-05-06 10:15
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-06 10:10
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%3.9%2026-05-06 10:10