La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Marco Trungelliti v Zachary Svajda
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Marco Trungelliti (Casa)
Previsione 69.57%1.44quota equa
EV -1.21%
Vantaggio -0.849%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.95%69.41%69.51%71.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.361.361.4275.76%73.40%73.53%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Zachary Svajda (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.43%3.29quota equa
EV +1.62%
Vantaggio +0.486%
Kelly +0.694%
Crescita +0.011%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.48%30.59%30.49%34.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.113.113.3436.36%32.18%32.15%29.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +1.62%E +0.486%K +0.694%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 09:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.11%E -0.343%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -1.42%E -0.438%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 09:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.64%E -0.824%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 05:24 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.07%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 07:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.16%E -6.18%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:30 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 09:38 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -9.33%E -3.13%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 06:39 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.76%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 07:39 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.21%E -0.849%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.33%E -5.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 23:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |