La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marco Trungelliti v Zachary Svajda
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marco Trungelliti (Local)
Predicción 69.57%1.44momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.849%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%69.41%69.51%71.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.361.361.4275.76%73.40%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zachary Svajda (Visitante)
Predicción 30.43%3.29momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.486%
Kelly +0.694%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.48%30.59%30.49%34.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.113.113.3436.36%32.18%32.15%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +1.62%E +0.486%K +0.694%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 09:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.11%E -0.343%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -1.42%E -0.438%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 09:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.64%E -0.824%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 05:24 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.07%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 07:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.16%E -6.18%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:30 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 09:38 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -9.33%E -3.13%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 06:39 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.76%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 07:39 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.21%E -0.849%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.33%E -5.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 23:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |