Szkoła Kursów

Marco Trungelliti v Zachary Svajda

Początek: 2026-05-06 10:20 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Marco Trungelliti (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 69.57%1.44kurs godziwy
EV -1.21%
Przewaga -0.849%
Kelly -2.87%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.95%69.41%69.51%71.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.361.361.4275.76%73.40%73.53%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Zachary Svajda (Goście)

Prognoza 30.43%3.29kurs godziwy
EV +1.62%
Przewaga +0.486%
Kelly +0.694%
Wzrost +0.011%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.34

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.48%30.59%30.49%34.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.113.113.3436.36%32.18%32.15%29.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +1.62%E +0.486%K +0.694%G +0.011%5.1%2026-05-06 09:40
FanDuel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-06 09:49
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001%5.5%2026-05-06 09:40
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.11%E -0.343%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 09:20
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -1.42%E -0.438%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 09:50
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.64%E -0.824%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 07:09
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 05:24
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 09:25
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:19
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:20
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:19
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:19
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 09:19
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 10:10
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 09:19
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 09:19
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.07%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 08:30
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 07:25
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 09:05
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:19
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:20
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:18
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:19
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 05:29
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:05
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:04
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:05
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:05
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.16%E -6.18%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 06:55
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 10:10
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 06:45
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 06:45
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 10:14
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 06:45
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 07:40
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 07:34
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 09:19
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 05:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 05:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 05:29
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:38
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -9.33%E -3.13%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 06:39
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.76%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 07:39
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.21%E -0.849%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.33%E -5.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 23:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-06 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-06 10:10
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-05-06 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-05-06 10:15
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-06 10:10
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%3.9%2026-05-06 10:10