Langue:Français
Marco Trungelliti v Zachary Svajda
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marco Trungelliti (Local)
Prévision 69.57%1.44cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.849%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.95%69.41%69.51%71.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.361.361.4275.76%73.40%73.53%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Zachary Svajda (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.43%3.29cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.486%
Kelly +0.694%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 3.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.48%30.59%30.49%34.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.113.113.3436.36%32.18%32.15%29.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marco Trungelliti (Local) : 69.57% ; Zachary Svajda (Visiteur) : 30.43%. Pour Zachary Svajda (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.29. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.34, soit une espérance positive de +1.62%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +1.62%E +0.486%K +0.694%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 09:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.407%E +0.123%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.11%E -0.343%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -1.42%E -0.438%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 09:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.64%E -0.824%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 05:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.46%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.07%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 07:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.16%E -6.18%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 06:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 09:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -2.60%E -1.85%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -9.33%E -3.13%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 06:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.76%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 07:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.21%E -0.849%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.33%E -5.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 23:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 10:10 |