The School of Odds

Luciano Darderi v Alexander Zverev

Matchstart: 2026-05-12 12:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Luciano Darderi (Hemma)

Prognos 21.93%4.56rättvist odds
EV +5.25%
Fördel +1.09%
Kelly +1.38%
Tillväxt +0.072%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.73%21.88%21.90%23.37%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.004.304.254.8025.00%23.24%23.53%20.83%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alexander Zverev (Borta)

Prognos 78.07%1.28rättvist odds
EV -2.41%
Fördel -1.93%
Kelly -9.63%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.63%78.12%78.10%80.27%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.29%81.97%80.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.09%K +1.38%G +0.072%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV +1.96%E +0.421%K +0.537%G +0.011%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 07:55
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 09:35
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 09:49
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.09%E -5.96%K -37.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 12:00
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 08:00
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 12:04
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 05:39
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 02:04
Pinnacle4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%EV -1.77%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 11:54
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 07:54
1xBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 02:04
DraftKings4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -3.30%E -0.749%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 02:14
GTbets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 11:59
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:55
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:49
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 11:04
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 11:59
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.65%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 10:14
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 02:04
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 09:35
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 07:55
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 05:30
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:39
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:39
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 12:00
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Bally Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 12:00
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 07:19
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 12:04
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 11:44
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 02:04
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 07:50
Fliff4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 11:59
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 12:04
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:49
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:59
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:49
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 07:49
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 07:50
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 08:45
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 11:59
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 11:59
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 12:00
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 07:49
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:39
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:39
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 01:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:05
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-05-12 12:05
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%3.6%2026-05-12 12:04