مدرسة الاحتمالات

Luciano Darderi v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-05-12 12:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Luciano Darderi (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.93%4.56السعر العادل
EV +5.25%
الأفضلية +1.09%
Kelly +1.38%
النمو +0.072%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.73%21.88%21.90%23.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.304.254.8025.00%23.24%23.53%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 78.07%1.28السعر العادل
EV -2.41%
الأفضلية -1.93%
Kelly -9.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.63%78.12%78.10%80.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.29%81.97%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.09%K +1.38%G +0.072%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV +1.96%E +0.421%K +0.537%G +0.011%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 07:55
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 09:35
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 09:49
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.09%E -5.96%K -37.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 12:00
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 08:00
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 12:04
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 05:39
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 02:04
Pinnacle4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%EV -1.77%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 11:54
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 07:54
1xBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 02:04
DraftKings4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -3.30%E -0.749%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 02:14
GTbets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 11:59
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:55
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:49
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 11:04
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 11:59
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.65%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 10:14
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 02:04
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 09:35
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 07:55
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 05:30
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:39
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:39
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 12:00
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Bally Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 12:00
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 07:19
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 12:04
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 11:44
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 02:04
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 07:50
Fliff4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 11:59
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 12:04
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:49
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:59
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:49
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 07:49
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 07:50
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 08:45
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 11:59
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 11:59
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 12:00
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 07:49
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:39
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:39
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 01:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:05
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-05-12 12:05
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%3.6%2026-05-12 12:04