L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Luciano Darderi v Alexander Zverev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prévision 21.93%4.56cote équitable
EV +5.25%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.072%
avec la cote maximale 4.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.73%21.88%21.90%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.304.254.8025.00%23.24%23.53%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.07%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -9.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%78.12%78.10%80.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.29%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.09%K +1.38%G +0.072% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV +1.96%E +0.421%K +0.537%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 09:49 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.09%E -5.96%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| Pinnacle | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%EV -1.77%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 11:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| 1xBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| DraftKings | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -3.30%E -0.749%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 02:14 |
| GTbets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Betsson | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| ReBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 11:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.65%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Fanatics | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 05:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| TABtouch | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Casumo | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| betPARX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Bally Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 11:44 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| BetMGM | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Fliff | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 08:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 01:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:05 |
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Smarkets | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 12:05 |
| Novig | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |