Szkoła Kursów

Luciano Darderi v Alexander Zverev

Początek: 2026-05-12 12:10 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 21.93%4.56kurs godziwy
EV +5.25%
Przewaga +1.09%
Kelly +1.38%
Wzrost +0.072%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.73%21.88%21.90%23.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.304.254.8025.00%23.24%23.53%20.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexander Zverev (Goście)

Prognoza 78.07%1.28kurs godziwy
EV -2.41%
Przewaga -1.93%
Kelly -9.63%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
76.63%78.12%78.10%80.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.29%81.97%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.09%K +1.38%G +0.072%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV +1.96%E +0.421%K +0.537%G +0.011%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 07:55
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 09:35
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 09:49
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.09%E -5.96%K -37.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 12:00
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 08:00
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 12:04
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 05:39
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 02:04
Pinnacle4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%EV -1.77%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 11:54
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 07:54
1xBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 02:04
DraftKings4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -3.30%E -0.749%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 02:14
GTbets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 11:59
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:55
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:49
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 11:04
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 11:59
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.65%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 10:14
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 02:04
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 09:35
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 07:55
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 05:30
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:39
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:39
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 12:00
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Bally Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 12:00
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 07:19
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 12:04
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 11:44
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 02:04
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 07:50
Fliff4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 11:59
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 12:04
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:49
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:59
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:49
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 07:49
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 07:50
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 08:45
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 11:59
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 11:59
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 12:00
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 07:49
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:39
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:39
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 01:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:05
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-05-12 12:05
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%3.6%2026-05-12 12:04