La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Luciano Darderi v Alexander Zverev
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luciano Darderi (Casa)
Previsione 21.93%4.56quota equa
EV +5.25%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescita +0.072%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.73%21.88%21.90%23.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.304.254.8025.00%23.24%23.53%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alexander Zverev (Trasferta)
Previsione 78.07%1.28quota equa
EV -2.41%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -9.63%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.63%78.12%78.10%80.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.29%81.97%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.09%K +1.38%G +0.072% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV +1.96%E +0.421%K +0.537%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 09:49 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.09%E -5.96%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| Pinnacle | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%EV -1.77%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 11:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| 1xBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| DraftKings | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -3.30%E -0.749%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 02:14 |
| GTbets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Betsson | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| ReBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 11:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.65%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Fanatics | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 05:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| TABtouch | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Casumo | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| betPARX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Bally Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 11:44 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| BetMGM | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Fliff | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 08:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 01:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:05 |
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Smarkets | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 12:05 |
| Novig | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |