Idioma:Português
Luciano Darderi v Alexander Zverev
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Previsão 21.93%4.56odd justa
EV +5.25%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.072%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.73%21.88%21.90%23.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.304.254.8025.00%23.24%23.53%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Previsão 78.07%1.28odd justa
EV -2.41%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -9.63%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.63%78.12%78.10%80.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.29%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Luciano Darderi (Local): 21.93%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 78.07%. Para Luciano Darderi (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.56. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.25%.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.09%K +1.38%G +0.072% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV +1.96%E +0.421%K +0.537%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.09%E -5.96%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%EV -1.77%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 11:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -3.30%E -0.749%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 02:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 11:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.65%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 05:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 11:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 01:59 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 12:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |