Die Wettquotenschule

Luciano Darderi v Alexander Zverev

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-12 12:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Luciano Darderi (Heim)

Prognose 21.93%4.56faire Quote
EV +5.25%
Vorteil +1.09%
Kelly +1.38%
Wachstum +0.072%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.73%21.88%21.90%23.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.004.304.254.8025.00%23.24%23.53%20.83%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alexander Zverev (Auswärts)

Prognose 78.07%1.28faire Quote
EV -2.41%
Vorteil -1.93%
Kelly -9.63%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.63%78.12%78.10%80.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.29%81.97%80.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.09%K +1.38%G +0.072%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV +1.96%E +0.421%K +0.537%G +0.011%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 07:55
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 09:35
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 09:49
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.09%E -5.96%K -37.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 12:00
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 08:00
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 12:04
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 05:39
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 02:04
Pinnacle4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%EV -1.77%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 11:54
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 07:54
1xBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 02:04
DraftKings4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -3.30%E -0.749%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 02:14
GTbets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 11:59
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:55
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:49
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 11:04
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 11:59
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.65%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 10:14
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 02:04
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 09:35
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 07:55
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 05:30
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:39
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:39
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 12:00
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Bally Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 12:00
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 11:59
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 07:19
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 12:04
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 11:44
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 02:04
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 07:50
Fliff4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 11:59
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 12:04
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:49
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:59
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:49
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 07:49
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 07:50
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 08:45
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 11:59
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 11:59
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 12:00
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 07:49
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:39
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:39
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 01:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:05
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-12 12:04
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-05-12 12:05
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%3.6%2026-05-12 12:04