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Luciano Darderi v Alexander Zverev
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Luciano Darderi (Хозяева)
Прогноз 21.93%4.56справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.25%
Преимущество +1.09%
Kelly +1.38%
Рост +0.072%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.73%21.88%21.90%23.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.304.254.8025.00%23.24%23.53%20.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Alexander Zverev (Гости)
Прогноз 78.07%1.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.41%
Преимущество -1.93%
Kelly -9.63%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
76.63%78.12%78.10%80.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.29%81.97%80.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Luciano Darderi (Хозяева): 21.93%; Alexander Zverev (Гости): 78.07%. Для исхода «Luciano Darderi (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.56. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.25%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.09%K +1.38%G +0.072% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV +1.96%E +0.421%K +0.537%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.862%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.09%E -5.96%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%EV -1.77%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 11:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.43%E -0.545%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -3.30%E -0.749%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 02:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 11:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.801%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.65%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 05:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 11:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 02:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 01:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 12:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 12:04 |