语言:简体中文
Jannik Sinner v Casper Ruud
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jannik Sinner (主队)
预测 83.88%1.19公平赔率
EV -1.86%
优势 -1.59%
Kelly -10.94%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.17
博彩公司预测分布
81.57%83.86%83.82%85.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.77%87.72%85.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Casper Ruud (客队)
预测 16.12%6.20公平赔率
EV +8.00%
优势 +1.19%
Kelly +1.40%
增长率 +0.112%
假设最高赔率为 6.70
博彩公司预测分布
14.21%16.14%16.18%18.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.805.756.7020.00%17.26%17.39%14.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jannik Sinner (主队)：83.88%；Casper Ruud (客队)：16.12%。 对于“Casper Ruud (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.20。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.70，对应+8.00%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.56%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.44%EV +1.55%E +0.247%K +0.293%G +0.005% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -0.059%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.55%EV -0.220%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 08:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40%EV -1.86%E -1.59%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60%EV -5.22%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.73%E -7.03%K -77.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.12%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 12:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.37%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 13:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |