La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jannik Sinner v Casper Ruud
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Predicción 83.88%1.19momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -10.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.57%83.86%83.82%85.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.77%87.72%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Casper Ruud (Visitante)
Predicción 16.12%6.20momio equitativo
EV +8.00%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.112%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.21%16.14%16.18%18.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.805.756.7020.00%17.26%17.39%14.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.56%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.44%EV +1.55%E +0.247%K +0.293%G +0.005% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -0.059%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.55%EV -0.220%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 08:06 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Betsson | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 14:10 |
| GTbets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40%EV -1.86%E -1.59%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60%EV -5.22%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| betPARX | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| ReBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Fliff | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.73%E -7.03%K -77.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.12%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Casumo | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| TAB | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Coral | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 12:14 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Neds | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.37%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 13:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Novig | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |