Szkoła Kursów

Jannik Sinner v Casper Ruud

Początek: 2026-05-17 15:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 83.88%1.19kurs godziwy
EV -1.86%
Przewaga -1.59%
Kelly -10.94%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
81.57%83.86%83.82%85.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.77%87.72%85.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Casper Ruud (Goście)

Prognoza 16.12%6.20kurs godziwy
EV +8.00%
Przewaga +1.19%
Kelly +1.40%
Wzrost +0.112%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.21%16.14%16.18%18.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.805.756.7020.00%17.26%17.39%14.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112%4.2%2026-05-17 14:24
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112%5.0%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 84.56%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.44%EV +1.55%E +0.247%K +0.293%G +0.005%2.8%2026-05-17 14:29
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-17 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -0.059%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:45
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.55%EV -0.220%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:30
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 08:06
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 15:30
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:09
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:10
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 16:05
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:30
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40%EV -1.86%E -1.59%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60%EV -5.22%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 14:15
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:30
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 11:19
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 11:19
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 14:15
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:09
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:30
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:30
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:25
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.73%E -7.03%K -77.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.12%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:15
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:30
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:09
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:45
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:15
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 12:15
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 12:14
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:50
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:30
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 12:15
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.37%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 13:14
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-05-17 14:30