A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Casper Ruud

Início: 2026-05-17 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 83.88%1.19odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -10.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.57%83.86%83.82%85.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.77%87.72%85.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Casper Ruud (Visitante)

Previsão 16.12%6.20odd justa
EV +8.00%
Vantagem +1.19%
Kelly +1.40%
Crescimento +0.112%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.21%16.14%16.18%18.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.805.756.7020.00%17.26%17.39%14.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112%4.2%2026-05-17 14:24
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112%5.0%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 84.56%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.44%EV +1.55%E +0.247%K +0.293%G +0.005%2.8%2026-05-17 14:29
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-17 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -0.059%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:45
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.55%EV -0.220%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:30
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 08:06
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 15:30
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:09
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:10
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 16:05
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:30
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40%EV -1.86%E -1.59%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60%EV -5.22%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 14:15
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:30
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 11:19
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 11:19
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 14:15
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:09
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:30
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:30
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:25
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.73%E -7.03%K -77.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.12%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:15
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:30
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:09
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:45
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:15
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 12:15
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 12:14
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:50
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:30
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 12:15
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.37%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 13:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-05-17 14:30