مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jannik Sinner v Casper Ruud

البداية: 2026-05-17 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jannik Sinner (المضيف)

التنبؤ 83.88%1.19السعر العادل
EV -1.86%
الأفضلية -1.59%
Kelly -10.94%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
81.57%83.86%83.82%85.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.77%87.72%85.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Casper Ruud (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.12%6.20السعر العادل
EV +8.00%
الأفضلية +1.19%
Kelly +1.40%
النمو +0.112%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.21%16.14%16.18%18.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.805.756.7020.00%17.26%17.39%14.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112%4.2%2026-05-17 14:24
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112%5.0%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 84.56%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.44%EV +1.55%E +0.247%K +0.293%G +0.005%2.8%2026-05-17 14:29
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-17 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -0.059%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:45
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.55%EV -0.220%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:30
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 08:06
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 15:30
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:09
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:10
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 16:05
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:30
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40%EV -1.86%E -1.59%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60%EV -5.22%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 14:15
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:30
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 11:19
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 11:19
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 14:15
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:09
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:30
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:30
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:25
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.73%E -7.03%K -77.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.12%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:15
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:30
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:09
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:45
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:15
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 12:15
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 12:14
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:50
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:30
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 12:15
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.37%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 13:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-05-17 14:30