StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jannik Sinner v Casper Ruud

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-17 15:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jannik Sinner (Heim)

Prognose 83.88%1.19faire Quote
EV -1.86%
Vorteil -1.59%
Kelly -10.94%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
81.57%83.86%83.82%85.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.77%87.72%85.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Casper Ruud (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.12%6.20faire Quote
EV +8.00%
Vorteil +1.19%
Kelly +1.40%
Wachstum +0.112%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.21%16.14%16.18%18.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.805.756.7020.00%17.26%17.39%14.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jannik Sinner (Heim): 83.88%; Casper Ruud (Auswärts): 16.12%. Für Casper Ruud (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.20. 8 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.70 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.00%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112%4.2%2026-05-17 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112%5.0%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.56%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.44%EV +1.55%E +0.247%K +0.293%G +0.005%2.8%2026-05-17 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-17 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -0.059%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:45
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.55%EV -0.220%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 08:06
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 15:30
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:09
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:10
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40%EV -1.86%E -1.59%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60%EV -5.22%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 14:15
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:30
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 11:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.73%E -7.03%K -77.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.12%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:15
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:30
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:30
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:09
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:45
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:15
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 12:15
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 12:14
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:50
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 12:15
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.37%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 13:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-17 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-05-17 14:30