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Jannik Sinner v Casper Ruud
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Jannik Sinner (Хозяева)
Прогноз 83.88%1.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.86%
Преимущество -1.59%
Kelly -10.94%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
81.57%83.86%83.82%85.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.77%87.72%85.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Casper Ruud (Гости)
Прогноз 16.12%6.20справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.00%
Преимущество +1.19%
Kelly +1.40%
Рост +0.112%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.21%16.14%16.18%18.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.805.756.7020.00%17.26%17.39%14.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Jannik Sinner (Хозяева): 83.88%; Casper Ruud (Гости): 16.12%. Для исхода «Casper Ruud (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.20. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.70, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.00%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +8.00%E +1.19%K +1.40%G +0.112% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.56%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.44%EV +1.55%E +0.247%K +0.293%G +0.005% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.747%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.66%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -0.059%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.55%EV -0.220%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.67%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 08:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.89%E -0.830%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40%EV -1.86%E -1.59%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60%EV -5.22%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.73%E -7.03%K -77.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.12%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.70%E -2.33%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -9.73%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 12:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.05%E -5.41%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.54%E -3.08%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.37%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.22%E -4.62%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 13:14 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 12:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 14:30 |