The School of Odds

Denis Shapovalov v Mariano Navone

Matchstart: 2026-05-07 18:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Hemma)

Prognos 36.09%2.77rättvist odds
EV +1.04%
Fördel +0.372%
Kelly +0.579%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.52%35.98%36.37%38.46%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.402.612.602.8041.67%38.31%38.46%35.71%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Mariano Navone (Borta)

Prognos 63.91%1.56rättvist odds
EV -2.21%
Fördel -1.45%
Kelly -4.17%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.54%64.02%63.63%65.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.421.491.501.5370.42%67.25%66.67%65.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.04%E +0.372%K +0.579%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.762%E -0.277%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:00
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:00
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:00
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 17:59
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 17:59
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:59
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 17:46
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 17:58
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 17:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 17:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.39%E -5.58%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Novig2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%2.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-05-07 18:00