L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Denis Shapovalov v Mariano Navone
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Prévision 36.09%2.77cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.372%
Kelly +0.579%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%35.98%36.37%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.8041.67%38.31%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Mariano Navone (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.91%1.56cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -4.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%64.02%63.63%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.501.5370.42%67.25%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.04%E +0.372%K +0.579%G +0.006% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.762%E -0.277%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 17:46 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 17:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.39%E -5.58%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Novig | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08% | 2.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |