Lingua:Italiano
Denis Shapovalov v Mariano Navone
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Denis Shapovalov (Casa)
Previsione 36.09%2.77quota equa
EV +1.04%
Vantaggio +0.372%
Kelly +0.579%
Crescita +0.006%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.52%35.98%36.37%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.612.602.8041.67%38.31%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Mariano Navone (Trasferta)
Previsione 63.91%1.56quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -4.17%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.54%64.02%63.63%65.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.491.501.5370.42%67.25%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Denis Shapovalov (Casa): 36.09%; Mariano Navone (Trasferta): 63.91%. Per Denis Shapovalov (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.77. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.04%.
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.04%E +0.372%K +0.579%G +0.006% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.762%E -0.277%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 17:46 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 17:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.39%E -5.58%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08% | 2.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |