Школа коэффициентов

Denis Shapovalov v Mariano Navone

Начало: 2026-05-07 18:05 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Хозяева)

Прогноз 36.09%2.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.04%
Преимущество +0.372%
Kelly +0.579%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.52%35.98%36.37%38.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.612.602.8041.67%38.31%38.46%35.71%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Mariano Navone (Гости)

Прогноз 63.91%1.56справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.21%
Преимущество -1.45%
Kelly -4.17%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.53

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.54%64.02%63.63%65.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.421.491.501.5370.42%67.25%66.67%65.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.04%E +0.372%K +0.579%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.762%E -0.277%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:00
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:00
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:00
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 17:59
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 17:59
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:59
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 17:46
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 17:58
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 17:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 17:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.39%E -5.58%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Novig2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%2.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-05-07 18:00