Szkoła Kursów

Denis Shapovalov v Mariano Navone

Początek: 2026-05-07 18:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.09%2.77kurs godziwy
EV +1.04%
Przewaga +0.372%
Kelly +0.579%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.52%35.98%36.37%38.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.612.602.8041.67%38.31%38.46%35.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Mariano Navone (Goście)

Prognoza 63.91%1.56kurs godziwy
EV -2.21%
Przewaga -1.45%
Kelly -4.17%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.54%64.02%63.63%65.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.491.501.5370.42%67.25%66.67%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.04%E +0.372%K +0.579%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.762%E -0.277%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:00
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:00
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:00
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 17:59
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 17:59
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:59
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 17:46
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 17:58
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 17:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 17:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.39%E -5.58%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Novig2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%2.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-05-07 18:00