La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Denis Shapovalov v Mariano Navone
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Predicción 36.09%2.77momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.372%
Kelly +0.579%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%35.98%36.37%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.8041.67%38.31%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Predicción 63.91%1.56momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -4.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%64.02%63.63%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.501.5370.42%67.25%66.67%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.04%E +0.372%K +0.579%G +0.006% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.762%E -0.277%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 17:46 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 17:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.39%E -5.58%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Novig | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08% | 2.0% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |