مدرسة الاحتمالات

Denis Shapovalov v Mariano Navone

البداية: 2026-05-07 18:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.09%2.77السعر العادل
EV +1.04%
الأفضلية +0.372%
Kelly +0.579%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.52%35.98%36.37%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.612.602.8041.67%38.31%38.46%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mariano Navone (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.91%1.56السعر العادل
EV -2.21%
الأفضلية -1.45%
Kelly -4.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.54%64.02%63.63%65.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.491.501.5370.42%67.25%66.67%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.04%E +0.372%K +0.579%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.762%E -0.277%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:59
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:00
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.57%E -0.950%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.37%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:00
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:00
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 17:59
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.45%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 17:59
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:59
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 17:46
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.17%E -2.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 17:58
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -7.26%E -2.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 17:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 17:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.85%E -1.88%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.39%E -5.58%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 17:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Novig2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%2.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-05-07 18:00