The School of Odds

Andrea Pellegrino v Luca Nardi

Matchstart: 2026-05-07 18:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Andrea Pellegrino (Hemma)

Prognos 58.20%1.72rättvist odds
EV -2.80%
Fördel -1.68%
Kelly -4.18%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.58%58.21%58.24%60.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.551.631.641.6764.52%61.21%60.98%59.88%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Luca Nardi (Borta)

Prognos 41.80%2.39rättvist odds
EV +1.99%
Fördel +0.815%
Kelly +1.38%
Tillväxt +0.027%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.75%41.79%41.76%43.42%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.152.262.252.4446.51%44.33%44.44%40.98%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027%3.1%2026-05-07 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027%3.1%2026-05-07 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 17:53
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.61%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 15:40
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 14:55
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:39
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.45%E -1.49%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:55
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 13:00
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:39
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:00
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 15:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.79%E -6.31%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 13:50
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:00
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:00
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 16:35
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.54%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 13:55
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:50
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 01:11
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 12:55
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:00
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 13:05
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.37%E -2.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 17:40
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.21%E -3.25%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 17:45
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.63%E -3.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:35
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 01:11
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 12:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.88%E -4.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:44
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 13:45
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 13:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-07 17:55
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-07 17:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-05-07 17:55