مدرسة الاحتمالات

Andrea Pellegrino v Luca Nardi

البداية: 2026-05-07 18:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Andrea Pellegrino (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.20%1.72السعر العادل
EV -2.80%
الأفضلية -1.68%
Kelly -4.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.58%58.21%58.24%60.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.631.641.6764.52%61.21%60.98%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luca Nardi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.80%2.39السعر العادل
EV +1.99%
الأفضلية +0.815%
Kelly +1.38%
النمو +0.027%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.75%41.79%41.76%43.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.262.252.4446.51%44.33%44.44%40.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027%3.1%2026-05-07 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027%3.1%2026-05-07 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 17:53
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.61%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 15:40
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 14:55
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:39
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.45%E -1.49%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:55
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 13:00
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:39
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:00
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 15:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.79%E -6.31%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 13:50
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:00
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:00
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 16:35
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.54%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 13:55
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:50
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 01:11
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 12:55
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:00
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 13:05
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.37%E -2.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 17:40
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.21%E -3.25%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 17:45
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.63%E -3.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:35
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 01:11
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 12:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.88%E -4.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:44
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 13:45
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 13:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-07 17:55
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-07 17:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-05-07 17:55