Sprache:Deutsch
Andrea Pellegrino v Luca Nardi
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Andrea Pellegrino (Heim)
Prognose 58.20%1.72faire Quote
EV -2.80%
Vorteil -1.68%
Kelly -4.18%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.58%58.21%58.24%60.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.631.641.6764.52%61.21%60.98%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Luca Nardi (Auswärts)
Prognose 41.80%2.39faire Quote
EV +1.99%
Vorteil +0.815%
Kelly +1.38%
Wachstum +0.027%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.44
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.75%41.79%41.76%43.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.262.252.4446.51%44.33%44.44%40.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Andrea Pellegrino (Heim): 58.20%; Luca Nardi (Auswärts): 41.80%. Für Luca Nardi (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.39. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.44 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.99%.
Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 17:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.61%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.45%E -1.49%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.79%E -6.31%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.54%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 01:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 13:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.37%E -2.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.21%E -3.25%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.63%E -3.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 01:11 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.88%E -4.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 13:40 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |