La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Andrea Pellegrino v Luca Nardi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Andrea Pellegrino (Casa)
Previsione 58.20%1.72quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -1.68%
Kelly -4.18%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.58%58.21%58.24%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.631.641.6764.52%61.21%60.98%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Luca Nardi (Trasferta)
Previsione 41.80%2.39quota equa
EV +1.99%
Vantaggio +0.815%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescita +0.027%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%41.79%41.76%43.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.262.252.4446.51%44.33%44.44%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 17:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.61%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 15:40 |
| GTbets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.45%E -1.49%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.79%E -6.31%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 13:50 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| ReBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 16:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.54%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 01:11 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 13:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.37%E -2.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.21%E -3.25%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.63%E -3.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 01:11 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.88%E -4.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:44 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 13:45 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 13:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |