L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Andrea Pellegrino v Luca Nardi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Andrea Pellegrino (Local)
Prévision 58.20%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -4.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%58.21%58.24%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.641.6764.52%61.21%60.98%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Luca Nardi (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.80%2.39cote équitable
EV +1.99%
Avantage +0.815%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 2.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.79%41.76%43.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.262.252.4446.51%44.33%44.44%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.99%E +0.815%K +1.38%G +0.027% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 17:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.61%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 15:40 |
| GTbets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.45%E -1.49%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.79%E -6.31%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 13:50 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| ReBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 16:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.54%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 01:11 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 13:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.37%E -2.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.21%E -3.25%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.63%E -3.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 01:11 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.88%E -4.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:44 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 13:45 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 13:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |