语言:简体中文
Alexei Popyrin v Jakub Mensik
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Alexei Popyrin (主队)
预测 32.24%3.10公平赔率
EV -0.697%
优势 -0.226%
Kelly -0.335%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.08
博彩公司预测分布
31.15%32.22%32.18%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.922.903.0835.71%34.27%34.48%32.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jakub Mensik (客队)
预测 67.76%1.48公平赔率
EV -3.78%
优势 -2.66%
Kelly -9.01%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
66.67%67.78%67.82%68.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.30%71.43%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Alexei Popyrin (主队)：32.24%；Jakub Mensik (客队)：67.76%。 对于“Alexei Popyrin (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.10。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.08，期望值为-0.697%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.697%E -0.226%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -2.63%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.47%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:12 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Novig◎ | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |