L’École des cotes

Alexei Popyrin v Jakub Mensik

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 20:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Prévision 32.24%3.10cote équitable
EV -0.697%
Avantage -0.226%
Kelly -0.335%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.15%32.22%32.18%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.922.903.0835.71%34.27%34.48%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.76%1.48cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -9.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%67.78%67.82%68.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.30%71.43%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.697%E -0.226%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 20:24
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 20:15
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 20:15
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:14
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:25
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:14
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -2.63%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:10
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 20:24
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 20:24
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:19
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 20:15
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 20:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 20:15
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 20:14
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 20:15
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 20:15
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:14
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:14
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.47%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 20:14
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 20:15
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:12
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-09 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-09 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-05-09 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-05-09 20:34
Novig3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48%2.1%2026-05-09 20:34
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-05-09 20:29