Школа коэффициентов

Alexei Popyrin v Jakub Mensik

Начало: 2026-05-09 20:40 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Хозяева)

Прогноз 32.24%3.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.697%
Преимущество -0.226%
Kelly -0.335%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.08

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.15%32.22%32.18%33.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.922.903.0835.71%34.27%34.48%32.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Jakub Mensik (Гости)

Прогноз 67.76%1.48справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.78%
Преимущество -2.66%
Kelly -9.01%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.42

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.67%67.78%67.82%68.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.30%71.43%70.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.697%E -0.226%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 20:24
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 20:15
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 20:15
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:14
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:25
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:14
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -2.63%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:10
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 20:24
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 20:24
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:19
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 20:15
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 20:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 20:15
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 20:14
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 20:15
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 20:15
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:14
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:14
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.47%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 20:14
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 20:15
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:12
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-09 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-09 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-05-09 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-05-09 20:34
Novig3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48%2.1%2026-05-09 20:34
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-05-09 20:29