La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alexei Popyrin v Jakub Mensik
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alexei Popyrin (Casa)
Previsione 32.24%3.10quota equa
EV -0.697%
Vantaggio -0.226%
Kelly -0.335%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.08
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.15%32.22%32.18%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.922.903.0835.71%34.27%34.48%32.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jakub Mensik (Trasferta)
Previsione 67.76%1.48quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -2.66%
Kelly -9.01%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.67%67.78%67.82%68.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.30%71.43%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.697%E -0.226%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| GTbets | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -2.63%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| ReBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Fliff | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.47%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:12 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Novig | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |