مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexei Popyrin v Jakub Mensik

البداية: 2026-05-09 20:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.24%3.10السعر العادل
EV -0.697%
الأفضلية -0.226%
Kelly -0.335%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.15%32.22%32.18%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.802.922.903.0835.71%34.27%34.48%32.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jakub Mensik (الضيف)

التنبؤ 67.76%1.48السعر العادل
EV -3.78%
الأفضلية -2.66%
Kelly -9.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.67%67.78%67.82%68.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.30%71.43%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.697%E -0.226%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 20:24
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 20:15
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 20:15
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:14
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:25
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:14
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -2.63%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:10
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 20:24
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 20:24
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:19
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 20:15
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 20:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 20:15
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 20:14
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 20:15
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 20:15
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:14
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:14
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.47%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 20:14
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 20:15
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:12
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-09 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-09 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-05-09 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-05-09 20:34
Novig3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48%2.1%2026-05-09 20:34
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-05-09 20:29