La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexei Popyrin v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Predicción 32.24%3.10momio equitativo
EV -0.697%
Ventaja -0.226%
Kelly -0.335%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.15%32.22%32.18%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.922.903.0835.71%34.27%34.48%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 67.76%1.48momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -9.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%67.78%67.82%68.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.30%71.43%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.697%E -0.226%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| GTbets | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -2.63%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| ReBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Fliff | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.47%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:12 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Novig | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |