Die Wettquotenschule

Alexei Popyrin v Jakub Mensik

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-09 20:40 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Heim)

Prognose 32.24%3.10faire Quote
EV -0.697%
Vorteil -0.226%
Kelly -0.335%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.15%32.22%32.18%33.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.802.922.903.0835.71%34.27%34.48%32.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)

Prognose 67.76%1.48faire Quote
EV -3.78%
Vorteil -2.66%
Kelly -9.01%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.67%67.78%67.82%68.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.30%71.43%70.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.697%E -0.226%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 20:24
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 20:15
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 20:15
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:14
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:25
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.66%E -0.546%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:14
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -2.63%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:10
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 20:24
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 20:24
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:19
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 20:15
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 20:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 20:15
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 20:14
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 20:15
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 20:15
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.46%E -3.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:14
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:14
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.82%E -4.18%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:15
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.15%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.47%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 20:14
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 20:15
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:12
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:15
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-09 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-09 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-05-09 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-05-09 20:34
Novig3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48%2.1%2026-05-09 20:34
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-05-09 20:29