The School of Odds

Alex de Minaur v Matteo Arnaldi

Matchstart: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Hemma)

Prognos 68.14%1.47rättvist odds
EV -1.88%
Fördel -1.31%
Kelly -4.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.63%68.13%68.16%70.14%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.82%71.43%69.44%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Matteo Arnaldi (Borta)

Prognos 31.86%3.14rättvist odds
EV +1.96%
Fördel +0.612%
Kelly +0.890%
Tillväxt +0.017%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.86%31.87%31.84%34.37%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.752.962.953.2036.36%33.74%33.90%31.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.96%E +0.612%K +0.890%G +0.017%3.7%2026-05-08 08:50
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +1.64%E +0.514%K +0.749%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-08 08:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +0.684%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002%5.2%2026-05-08 08:49
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.365%E +0.116%K +0.170%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-08 08:49
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:10
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.01%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.18%E -0.711%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 08:25
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:49
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 08:50
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:49
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:50
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -5.05%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:43
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:35
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 04:55
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.56%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 08:10
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.56%E -1.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.19%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:50
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:45
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%3.1%2026-05-08 08:55