La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alex de Minaur v Matteo Arnaldi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alex de Minaur (Casa)
Previsione 68.14%1.47quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -4.28%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.63%68.13%68.16%70.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.82%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.86%3.14quota equa
EV +1.96%
Vantaggio +0.612%
Kelly +0.890%
Crescita +0.017%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.86%31.87%31.84%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.962.953.2036.36%33.74%33.90%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.96%E +0.612%K +0.890%G +0.017% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +1.64%E +0.514%K +0.749%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +0.684%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.365%E +0.116%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| GTbets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.01%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.18%E -0.711%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| ReBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -5.05%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:43 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 04:55 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 07:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.56%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.56%E -1.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.19%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |