Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Alex de Minaur v Matteo Arnaldi
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex de Minaur (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 68.14%1.47kurs godziwy
EV -1.88%
Przewaga -1.31%
Kelly -4.28%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.63%68.13%68.16%70.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.82%71.43%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Matteo Arnaldi (Goście)
Prognoza 31.86%3.14kurs godziwy
EV +1.96%
Przewaga +0.612%
Kelly +0.890%
Wzrost +0.017%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.86%31.87%31.84%34.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.962.953.2036.36%33.74%33.90%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.96%E +0.612%K +0.890%G +0.017% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +1.64%E +0.514%K +0.749%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +0.684%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.365%E +0.116%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| GTbets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.01%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.18%E -0.711%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| ReBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -5.05%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:43 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 04:55 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 07:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.56%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.56%E -1.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.19%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |