Idioma:Português
Alex de Minaur v Matteo Arnaldi
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Previsão 68.14%1.47odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -4.28%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%68.13%68.16%70.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.82%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante)
Previsão 31.86%3.14odd justa
EV +1.96%
Vantagem +0.612%
Kelly +0.890%
Crescimento +0.017%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.86%31.87%31.84%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.962.953.2036.36%33.74%33.90%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex de Minaur (Local): 68.14%; Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante): 31.86%. Para Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.14. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.96%.
Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.96%E +0.612%K +0.890%G +0.017% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +1.64%E +0.514%K +0.749%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +0.684%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.365%E +0.116%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.01%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.18%E -0.711%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -5.05%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:43 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 04:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 07:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.56%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.56%E -1.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.19%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |