مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alex de Minaur v Matteo Arnaldi

البداية: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alex de Minaur (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.14%1.47السعر العادل
EV -1.88%
الأفضلية -1.31%
Kelly -4.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.63%68.13%68.16%70.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.82%71.43%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Matteo Arnaldi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.86%3.14السعر العادل
EV +1.96%
الأفضلية +0.612%
Kelly +0.890%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.86%31.87%31.84%34.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.962.953.2036.36%33.74%33.90%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.96%E +0.612%K +0.890%G +0.017%3.7%2026-05-08 08:50
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +1.64%E +0.514%K +0.749%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-08 08:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +0.684%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002%5.2%2026-05-08 08:49
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.365%E +0.116%K +0.170%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-08 08:49
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:10
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.01%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.18%E -0.711%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 08:25
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:49
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 08:50
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:49
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:50
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -5.05%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:43
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:35
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 04:55
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.56%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 08:10
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.56%E -1.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.19%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:50
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:45
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%3.1%2026-05-08 08:55