Школа коэффициентов

Alex de Minaur v Matteo Arnaldi

Начало: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

61 букмекерская контора (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Хозяева)

Прогноз 68.14%1.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.88%
Преимущество -1.31%
Kelly -4.28%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.44

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.63%68.13%68.16%70.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.82%71.43%69.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Matteo Arnaldi (Гости)

Прогноз 31.86%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.96%
Преимущество +0.612%
Kelly +0.890%
Рост +0.017%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.86%31.87%31.84%34.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.962.953.2036.36%33.74%33.90%31.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.96%E +0.612%K +0.890%G +0.017%3.7%2026-05-08 08:50
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +1.64%E +0.514%K +0.749%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-08 08:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +0.684%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002%5.2%2026-05-08 08:49
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.365%E +0.116%K +0.170%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-08 08:49
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:10
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.01%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.18%E -0.711%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 08:25
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:49
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 08:50
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:49
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:50
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -5.05%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:43
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:35
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 04:55
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.56%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 08:10
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.56%E -1.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.19%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:50
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:45
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%3.1%2026-05-08 08:55