Die Wettquotenschule

Alex de Minaur v Matteo Arnaldi

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Heim)

Prognose 68.14%1.47faire Quote
EV -1.88%
Vorteil -1.31%
Kelly -4.28%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.63%68.13%68.16%70.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.82%71.43%69.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Matteo Arnaldi (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.86%3.14faire Quote
EV +1.96%
Vorteil +0.612%
Kelly +0.890%
Wachstum +0.017%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.86%31.87%31.84%34.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.752.962.953.2036.36%33.74%33.90%31.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.96%E +0.612%K +0.890%G +0.017%3.7%2026-05-08 08:50
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +1.64%E +0.514%K +0.749%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-08 08:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +0.684%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002%5.2%2026-05-08 08:49
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.365%E +0.116%K +0.170%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-08 08:49
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:10
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.01%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.18%E -0.711%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 08:25
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:49
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 08:50
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:49
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:50
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -5.05%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:43
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:35
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 04:55
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.56%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 08:10
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.56%E -1.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.19%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:50
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:45
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%3.1%2026-05-08 08:55