StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex de Minaur v Matteo Arnaldi

Aanvang: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

61 wedaanbieders (22 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex de Minaur (Thuis)

Prognose 68.14%1.47margevrije odds
EV -1.88%
Voordeel -1.31%
Kelly -4.28%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.44

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
65.63%68.13%68.16%70.14%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.82%71.43%69.44%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Matteo Arnaldi (Uit)

Prognose 31.86%3.14margevrije odds
EV +1.96%
Voordeel +0.612%
Kelly +0.890%
Groei +0.017%

bij maximale odds 3.20

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
29.86%31.87%31.84%34.37%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.752.962.953.2036.36%33.74%33.90%31.25%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Alex de Minaur (Thuis): 68.14%; Matteo Arnaldi (Uit): 31.86%. Voor Matteo Arnaldi (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 3.14. 4 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 3.20, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +1.96%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (61 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.96%E +0.612%K +0.890%G +0.017%3.7%2026-05-08 08:50
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +1.64%E +0.514%K +0.749%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-08 08:55
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +0.684%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002%5.2%2026-05-08 08:49
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.365%E +0.116%K +0.170%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-08 08:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:50
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.23%E -0.396%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:10
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.01%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.18%E -0.711%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 08:25
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:49
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.29%E -3.80%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.925%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.24%E -2.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -5.05%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:43
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:35
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.65%E -4.85%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:30
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:45
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 04:55
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.33%E -5.39%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.56%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 08:10
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.56%E -1.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.19%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:50
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:55
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-08 08:45
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-05-08 08:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%3.1%2026-05-08 08:55